Brian Peterson — Analyst, Raymond James
Thanks for taking the question, guys. Jeff, I wanted to start on the AI Search launch, and it's great to see a large customer win. Given that you've seen a few innovation cycles in pharma over the years, I'm just curious, how should we be thinking about the appetite for customers to invest in AI solutions? As we're thinking about a maybe two to three-year roadmap, any sense for how big these AI products could be over that timeframe?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Thanks, Brian. This is Jeff. Having just come back from New York last week where we were with 40 of these top pharmaceutical marketing executives, I was surprised, honestly, by the degree to which they are really all leaned in on AI. A number of the top 20 pharma have reported to us that they have, you know, minimum budget percentages, 10, 20% of their budgets that, you know, from a top-down perspective are part of their compensation plan that they should be spending on AI.
We are happy to offer them an AI product, now that we've spent, you know, the first year, post-Pathway acquisition year focusing on physicians first, which we always do, and building a better, more accurate product with peer review, with some built-in drug reference, with, you know, over 10,000 cited authors reviewing the results, and winning two to one in head-to-head studies with residents. I'll tell you, the pharma interest in all of this is quite high. It provides a lot of insight to them in addition to the being there at the place of learning and decision-making. They're, you know, understanding gaps, frankly, in their own product marketing, which is really interesting.
Again, we were excited to have a whole day to spend with them talking about how we can help them with that. In terms of the TAM, we do think it's a multi-billion dollar TAM, as we said in the prepared remarks. I mean, if you look at how much U.S. pharma spent on paid search in all, and it's hard to know because it's, you have to piece together some eMarketer data with some Google data. It's probably around $19 billion in overall U.S. paid search. A lot of that's for consumers, so that's why we're saying multi-billion dollar for healthcare professionals. We think it's a very large market, and it is incremental to the market we're in today.
Today, you know, we're not considered to be part of the paid search market, and so we're excited to be entering that market, this last week.
Brian Peterson — Analyst, Raymond James
Great. Appreciate the color, Jeff. Maybe just a follow-up on the budgets for calendar year 2026. I appreciate that it's a fluid environment, are you seeing significant changes in how customers are buying just the shorter term commitments? I'd love to understand how you guys are thinking about maybe mid-year buying and kind of end-of-year buying that kind of underpins that 4% growth for the year. Thanks, guys.
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey, Brian. It's Perry. How are you? Yeah, it's a great question. There's noticeable differences this year. I think the overarching theme is there's more uncertainty, policy and now macro. I think as a result, a lot of these companies, a lot of the C-suite want to retain optionality. We're seeing some of these incremental buys are just shorter duration. That's kind of like a consistent theme that's come up. That's a big one. You know, I think that's kind of leading to less visibility for us. That's kind of the broader theme.
I think the other thing I'll call out and referenced it in my script, it feels like when there is incremental budget, they're looking for innovation, which we now have to offer, or they're looking for the bargain bin. They're looking for some cheaper engagements. That's something that's a kind of a world we never really played in. We're a premium offering for physicians, native ad formats, and we don't play in kind of the banner ad, cheaper by the pound space. I think we can now offer them some of what they're looking for for that limited incremental budget they have, and there's a lot of excitement around our AI Search offering. Those are kind of the key trends we're seeing right now.
Michael Cherny — Analyst, Leerink Partners
Evening, afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe if I can jump in on the AI thought process a bit. You mentioned in the script, you talked about the dynamics of offering innovation, and I appreciate all the components you have in place. You know, that being said, obviously, it's a competitive market. There's a lot of investment being made for doctor eyeballs as you see it. As you think about the incremental investment being on compute spend or other R&D spend or people, how are you best measuring yourself to make sure that this amount of spend you have this year is the right amount to further kick off and expand your AI journey?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
This is Jeff. I can take that. Thanks, Michael. It's a good question. You know, the reality is, you know, the amount we're spending on compute is going up dramatically, that's a good thing. Honestly, we're helping more doctors answer more questions, take more notes than ever before. That's probably the number one metric we have for ourselves and will have for ourselves this year, is continuing to grow our AI usage among doctors. We wanna be the physician's private AI assistant. I think we are well positioned to be that today. I'm really proud. We grew 30% year-on-year in our workflow usage, the biggest jump we've ever had from 720,000-800,000 quarterly active prescribers.
You know, put that in perspective, three years ago, fiscal 2024, I mean, we've grown our engagement 50% since fiscal 2024. From fiscal 2024 to fiscal 2026, we've grown our revenue, 50% or more in that same period. We've grown our free cash flow per share more than 2x during that period. I think the AI opportunity that lies in front of us now is similar to what we've had this last few years. We're excited to lean in and invest here. A lot of it is compute, but a lot of it's also getting out with doctors, having them do the peer review, making sure that we continue to put the most accurate product out there in the market.
If you ask doctors what they like about AI, there's a lot of things they'll tell you, and we're delivering on those. The number one concern they have, 71% of physicians who've used AI, 3,000 physician survey that we ran a few months ago, the biggest concern is the accuracy of the AI. The reality is, if you just hit the refresh button, you'll get a different answer. That's not very comforting for someone who's putting their license on the line and making a very high-stakes decision for a patient. That's where our investment in having cited authors, you know, physicians who are experts in the field, do peer reviews, add practice pearls, make sure that the answers are correct, we think is a big, great long-term investment alongside the AI investments.
Michael Cherny — Analyst, Leerink Partners
Got it. I'm good for now. Thanks.
Glen Santangelo — Analyst, Barclays
Oh, yeah. Thanks for taking my question. Just two quick ones from me. Hey, Jeff, I wanna talk about the HCP marketing business for a second. I mean, you highlighted the continued regulatory concerns. Could you elaborate on what those concerns are and how much you think that's impacting the market? Is it coming from IRA price reductions? Like, what do you think is really causing the hesitation there? Secondly, with respect to sort of this new AI, the AI Search offering, I'm just kinda curious, could you give us a sense for maybe, you know, how the competitive landscape maybe is different here than your traditional HCP marketing business and maybe what the margin structure might be on that incremental revenue stream? Thanks so much.
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Great. Thanks, Glen. I'll answer part of this, and I think Perry will jump in here with a bit more. First, I had the word regulatory in my script, my prepared remarks here, that was referring to our new AI product. What it really boils down to is, you know, they're buying keywords, but they're also buying suppression words and, you know, there's a lot they have to figure out to make sure that, you know, that the targeting around keywords is done correctly and in a way that we're always proud of the way it appears in front of a physician. Again, we thought long and hard about this. We've tested it with our 160 doctors at our AI summit we had here in San Francisco in March.
Again, I'm very proud that our commercial offering with AI does not slow down the doctor at all. Others do. Others make you wait and watch an ad. We do not do that. We get you the answer you're looking for as fast as we can. Our pharma clients are on board with doing it that way with us. That does require some regulatory review and testing. It's really just why we think the AI revenue won't really be significant until later this fiscal year because, again, of the regulatory needs and reviews. Beyond that, the regulatory environment hasn't changed a whole lot. I mean, obviously, we have, you know, FDA changes and lots of things happening. It's a more turbulent environment just generally.
That does lead to a bit of macro, I mean, I'd say concern malaise. I mean, keep in mind, most of our clients are European companies, right? If you look at the top 20 pharma, this is, you know, a European-based group. We continue to do very well, again, in working with them and their regulatory teams and continuing to show them, ROI, which in the end is really the most important thing.
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey, Glen. I'll just add a little to what Jeff said. I think, in terms of how this is different than some of our other sales. What we're selling, it's a little different, for the first time, rather than, you know, our advertisers looking to target certain HCPs, we're selling them conditions, which is a basket of keywords. The product itself is more than just a native ad unit. It's a package. It also delivers insights. It delivers some retargeting capabilities, which makes our other products, the value of those products go up. There's better signal that's being brought in, better intent, being brought in. It is a bit of a different sale. To Jeff's point, it is a little bit of a different regulatory approval process.
It'll take a little longer to get these things up and running for the first time. I think it's incredibly additive and accretive to the entire product portfolio, and we're really excited to be out, selling this new product.
Glen Santangelo — Analyst, Barclays
Okay. Thank you.
Elizabeth Anderson — Analyst, Evercore ISI
Hi, guys. Thanks so much for the question. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit more, it's a two-parter, just about how you envision the gross, sorry, the margin structure for fiscal 2027. Should it be given some of those AI investments and the AI computing costs sort of similar to what we saw in the fourth quarter? Is that the right way to think about it? Or just help us sort of parse apart maybe some of those gross margin versus OpEx investments. Secondarily, can you go into a little bit more detail about the new CFOs of what you know, obviously, we saw his experience, but just any other sort of trades that you thought would be helpful for the business as you enter into this new era. Thank you.
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey, Elizabeth. Yeah, I can take the margin question first. I think the key things to look out for in fiscal 27 for gross margin, I think the big step-up will be AI compute. That's largely driven by kind of a big jump in engagement. The other piece to a lesser extent, there's a lot of licensing costs for journals for docs, but that's a much lower piece of it. For the rest of kind of OpEx, you know, you now have a team that just got leveled. There's kind of the expense base went up a little bit. We have a few more AI engineers, you've got a full run rate of that spend this year.
We've got some PeerCheck investments that hit selling and marketing. This year, I think for the first time, we're really leaning into brand marketing. I think our product velocity is so high. There's so many new incredible AI features we're rolling out. We really wanna go out and make some noise around that and educate our physicians about it. I think that's an online presence. That's a kind of a conference presence. We have a team internally that's kind of very focused on this now. I think that's kind of an intentional investment that's a little different than what you've seen from us in the past. We think it's a really good use of funds right now. I will pass the next question to Jeff.
I'll just say I've known Matt for many years from my time covering LinkedIn on the sell side. Matt's fantastic. I'm thrilled to have him here, but I will let Jeff take the rest of that.
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Yeah. I'm excited to introduce Matt, who's sitting right next to me here. I'll just say that we worked with Matt for over a year as a consultant, and he has just really been super helpful. I feel like he, you know, a lot of the team already knew him, and when we started talking about who we would like and the types of attributes we'd like in a CFO leadership role here, Matt's just checked all the boxes. In particular, his experience is very relevant for us. I think the way that LinkedIn has, I think, been very professional, but also, you know, high growth and built a marketing solutions business in particular, using a portal.
He helped inform a lot of that portal strategy for us two years ago. That continues to do well. If we don't get a chance to say it later, we have doubled the number of portal users that we have year-over-year. The portal is a perfect place to deploy more AI insights and more of the sort of search bidding and other things that Perry Gold just talked about a moment ago. Matt's been not only, I think, a great leader here, but also someone who's brought a lot of industry expertise. With that, Matt.
Matt Sonefeldt — CFO, Doximity
Thank you, Elizabeth, for the question. I am incredibly excited to be here, I think for a lot of different reasons. I think when I look at Doximity, you know, I see it as a company that has just incredible platform potential along the ways of other companies that I've been privileged to be a part of, like LinkedIn, like Atlassian, an incredible brand like DocuSign. You know, for us, some of our assets are just the largest medical professional digital network. We have 800,000 workflow users, just to say that again, with engagement that's accelerating behind a lot of the AI innovation that we're doing right now.
You know, an incredible monetization machine that's grown over multiple cycles, building on that strong engagement and relationship with medical professionals as well, and it's kind of underpinned by the relationship we have across health systems. When you look at the innovation that Doximity is investing in and creating right now, our pharma ad business in particular can really evolve from here into that search ad market, and that's something that LinkedIn did an incredible job over multiple years with evolving its ad business. I think for me, it's really important to be part of a special culture. Doximity is a special culture. It thinks about physicians and medical professionals first. It makes investments and big choices focused on the long term.
All of that makes it just an incredibly exciting place to be, and I can't tell you how pumped I am to get started for this next several years.
Elizabeth Anderson — Analyst, Evercore ISI
Great. Thank you very much.
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
I'll just chime in quick and say that Matt's blog was named Culture for Breakfast, which I love because of course, culture does eat strategy for breakfast, and the culture here is something that he be a very strong fit for.
Elizabeth Anderson — Analyst, Evercore ISI
Awesome. Thank you very much.
Ryan MacDonald — Analyst, Needham & Company
Thanks for taking my question. Jeff, as we think about the back half of the year and sort of the mid-year upsells and sort of year-end budget flush, are you viewing the market opportunity and the demand environment as such that the new AI Search product is really the only opportunity to unlock incremental budget from current levels? On the pricing side, I know you mentioned that you obviously don't sort of play down market in sort of banner ads and sort of lower priced options, but have you looked at or contemplating any sort of pricing changes this year to try to unlock maybe more demand as we go through into the back half? Thanks.
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Thanks, Ryan. This is Jeff, and Perry might help me a bit with this. I'll just say, you know, as we get to this year-end, we're excited to have an AI product. We did not have an AI product, you know, last year-end in the bigger part of the budget season, and we're excited to this year. In terms of do we expect growth from our non-AI products? Absolutely. You know, the growth that we've seen in our telehealth business, I mean, we had one day this last quarter where we served 720,000 patients. This was during the big snowstorms in the East Coast. No one else is at that scale. Again, as we've shared, nearly half of all U.S. physicians have an enterprise license to our telehealth service.
And that is, you know, a great opportunity for our clients to have, you know, reach because they're waiting millions of minutes during those visits with patients, for the patients to fill out their consent forms and do other things. That's a great learning opportunity, right? It's the magic moment. The doctor's there at their desk at home doing, you know, their telehealth day, and they're wearing their white lab coat, and it's a great moment to learn. I don't know if this analogy will fly, but I think this is in a way like Google, where they have both search and really interesting insights and intent, but then also YouTube, where you get a lot of time and a lot of attention, and I think we've brought those two together here.
I actually think the AI product will help us sell more of our existing products, because we have a lot of time and attention, and now we know how better to be more relevant.
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey Ryan, it's Perry. I'll just jump in on the pricing question. I'd say high level, we're not changing our pricing model or positioning to compete on cost. The brands that know our ROI best are generally not searching for discounts. I can say in looking back three years ago to kind of the last cycle, these low-cost experiments usually underperform on engagement, and eventually there's a flight back to quality cycle that plays out over the next sometimes year, 1.5 years. A lot of times you'll see kind of that money come back our way pretty aggressively when some of those kind of lower cost experiments don't really work out quite as well. I will say on the AI Search front, it's a bit of a different pricing paradigm.
It looks a little different and I think, even versus who we compete with in that space, I think we're attractively priced out of the gate. I think there's some opportunity there for folks to say, "Hey, this, there's good value here." I think, you know, we're not the banner ad company. We're not a cheaper by the pound company. I think our overall strategy doesn't really change on the pricing front.
Ryan MacDonald — Analyst, Needham & Company
Appreciate the color. Thanks.
Craig Hettenbach — Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Yes, thank you. Jeff, on the timeline to monetize DocsGPT, you talked about kind of different medical review. Any parallels to, if I think back to the point of care modules, video modules a couple years ago in terms of what you went through there and what you may expect this go around?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Well, I appreciate the long-term memory, Craig. Yes, you know, certainly we did think hard and long about that as we thought about our forecast and it's why we haven't put much in the AI bucket. 'Cause even if we, you know, sell or contract for a lot of business, we are worried that reviews may take a little while. I'll say as I look at this product, it's actually less new for our pharma clients than the vertical video was. It's hard to make vertical videos, especially three, four years ago, before we had a lot of AI tools to do it, and the reality is they just didn't have the content. You have to go, you know, literally hire an agency and make a video and do a video shoot and clip it together.
I mean, that took a fair bit of time and review. I think this time around, it's not about needing new assets, as they call it, you know, new content. It's really just the reviews around the target keywords and the suppression words. I think it will be faster this time, but we are taking a conservative approach.
Craig Hettenbach — Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Understood. Just as my follow-up, you talked about kinda, you know, putting the doctors first. You have PeerCheck and doing a lot of things to kinda get this product situated. What else beyond that, and maybe it is that just relative to some of the other newer entrants in this space, like what do you think is distinguishing Doximity the most today, and then what are you looking to kinda build on to create some separation from new entrants?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Yeah. Thanks, Craig. You know, the one number one thing I'll highlight is hospitals. At the end of the day, hospitals have a very difficult decision here. They do have some liability with the tools that their doctors use. What we have seen from our data and usage, it's about half of all the queries that doctors ask that have some amount of patient protected information in it. Of course, that is a huge concern for the security departments of these hospitals, and we've seen a number of them, you know, start to lock down and block access to, you know, the Wild West of AI that's out there. We're really proud that we've, you know, doubled our queries in two months.
I'd say I'm most proud, it took us two full years with our telehealth product Dialer, and this was during COVID when things were moving very fast. It took us two full years to get to 140 hospital enterprise clients, and we've done that in two quarters with our AI product, which is pretty impressive. Now we have over 250,000 doctors in the U.S., a lot more than anyone else, who have, you know, the full HIPAA permission, HIPAA compliance to put patient data in to our tools to help them provide better care, ask questions, get answers. I think that's a pretty sizable moat.
Richard Close — Analyst, Canaccord Genuity
Yes. Thanks for the questions. Maybe Jeff, a follow-up on that 140 health systems, hospitals that you just mentioned. Are these, you know, generally speaking, upsells, you know, they were existing Doximity clients?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Yeah, Richard. They mostly are folks who were existing clients. I think we've had a couple, you know, new clients who weren't previously clients who came in. We have seven of the top 20 hospitals in the U.S., and again, we'll have more next quarter to talk about. They all have AI steering committees and reviews. I will say that the process to get going here isn't just us, you know, adding a paragraph to a contract that already exists. It actually is a fairly exhaustive review process 'cause, let's face it, people should be worried about their AI security and AI chaos, especially again, when you're dealing with a lot of patient information. Each of these has been a full process, but again, we're at 140 now.
We continue to grow. We're proud now to also move beyond just working with the biggest health systems, but Aledade, as we called out in our upfront script. They're the largest network of independent primary care practices in the country. We're excited to work with Farzad and his team to make agentic AI for their teams using our Scribe and other tools. I think we've got a nice win here where our AI's helping us win in the small practice in addition to the big health systems.
Richard Close — Analyst, Canaccord Genuity
Okay, that's helpful. Perry, maybe on the shorter duration comments, it seems that's a theme with some others that have reported. What do you think has to happen or occur for pharma to, you know, move beyond the uncertainty? You know, what are they waiting for to get more comfortable with either the pricing or policy environments?
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey, Richard. It's a great question. I think the reality is it's coming from the C-suite down, the risk appetite is not terribly high right now. I think for better or worse, the policy and macro environment has to get a little bit better for there maybe to be a little more willingness to commit more money upfront for longer. I think eventually, some of these folks realize they're missing out on better economics by not doing that. I do think, though, it's gonna take a little time for macro and policy to get better. Hopefully we'll have some kind of settlement to this war in Iran at some point. I don't know if after the midterm elections, there's a little bit less noise around pharma policy.
You know, that's not, you know our specialty is calling these things. I really think that's what has to happen. The other piece, maybe it's, you know, showing, you know, getting people comfortable with our new product, AI Search, and eventually, you know, the nice thing about what we have now, in the early days, and it's still very early, there's a ton of competition we're seeing amongst brands and amongst sales reps, which is really nice to see. There is some level of selling, these categories and competitive blunting. There are some brands that want to kind of own, a certain category, and a lot of times for the entire year, I think is actually what, is what they're gonna wanna go for.
I think the ability to block out some competition, specifically through this product and selling through share of voice, is one of those things that we think will get some folks to commit to longer than three months contracts. That may not happen until the next upfront cycle, but I do think there's a component of the competitive blunting that folks may want to leverage for longer term contracts.
Ryan Halsted — Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. maybe just to dig into the bookings disclosures. you know, last quarter you mentioned starting the year off at, you know, record bookings pace. Just curious to hear, you know, how that translated into billable revenue. you know, obviously you're guiding to a much slower pace of bookings growth, just curious kind of how all that has transpired.
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey, Ryan. Yeah, it's a great question. I think what I'll come back to is you know, January was record bookings growth for January. January is I think the smallest month bookings-wise for the entire year. Some of that was simply, you know, delayed bookings, things that should have signed by 12/31 that got pushed a little bit. I think as, you know, we went on through future months, you know, the market has remained soft. That's the reality. I think there's a lot of uncertainty, a lot of want for optionality. We haven't, you know, it's been, I think a little bit incrementally worse than 90 days ago. That's the reality. We didn't have a war in Iran 90 days ago.
I think that's maybe the disconnect between, you know, strength in January, which was some of it was bookings from the prior year, and not seeing that flow through so far this year. That's kind of the biggest factor.
Ryan Halsted — Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Okay, that's helpful. Then my follow-up question, just on the upsell and, you know, the commentary around the shorter term spend commitments, just looking for some clarification. You know, typically my understanding of the upsell period is, you know, you're talking about the reallocation of dollars over the remainder of the budget calendar year or, you know, fiscal year. You know, how should we think about kind of that shorter term spend commitment impacting that portion of those upsell dollars? Does that mean, like, some of that upsell dollars could be allocated beyond the budget year?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Sure. This is Jeff, Ryan. I'll take this. Listen, if we go back five years, I think most of what we sold were annual programs that they would layer on more to in the mid-year, right? That's how things work. We're in an environment right now where there's just a lot of change. you know, the AI news cycle, everything, it's moving at a very rapid pace. The bad news is that does hurt our visibility when clients prefer to sign three and six-month sort of commitments. The good news is we do it at higher prices. Actually, we're quite explicit about that. The year-long contracts, I mean, they get, you know, decent discounts for those upfront commitments. Clients understand that if they make shorter commitments, they pay higher prices.
In the long run, it could work out to be better for us that we're getting, you know, better prices. Again, still with a great ROI for our clients. They're making, you know, shorter commitments, but we're getting better pricing. I do think there is a larger shift here, as Perry has mentioned. Folks are just a little more tepid, and the world is changing, you know, pretty quickly. You know, a few of the top 20 clients who have preferred to move away from the traditional annual commitments for their whole budget and for shorter commitments. Again, in the long run, that could turn out to be good for us from an overall revenue and profit perspective.
It does mean, however, that we have less visibility, that comes out obviously in the guidance that we're providing.
Steven Valiquette — Analyst, Mizuho Securities
Yeah, thanks. Yeah, good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. I guess also for us, you know, continuing on this dialogue around the revenue outlook for digital marketing spend over the next year or so, just curious if you're able to maybe give a little more color as to whether or not certain therapeutic categories are worth calling out where you may see incremental or continued softness in marketing spend. I ask because another public company talked about softness related to marketing spend in vaccines and also like GLP-1s, related to, you know, weight loss and/or in diabetes. I'm just curious if you're seeing those same trends or maybe it's just more broad-based, to get a little bit more color. Thanks.
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Sure. This is Jeff. Yeah, we don't talk about individual clients. You know, I mean, our GLP-1 business is growing very nicely, as you'd expect, right? That overall business is very competitive, and certainly a world where there's increased marketing spend, and it's growing very nicely. In terms of, you know, number of new, you know, FDA approvals and whatnot, you know, it's a good year, not a great year, but it's been a good year, and we think it will continue to be a good year in other classes as well. Again, that's where we see a high percentage of the spend going towards healthcare professionals as opposed to DTC. I think we'll continue to do well there.
Yeah, I will say there is clearly a few companies that are, you know, doing very well and we're doing very well with those companies. It's funny, the overall, you know, iShares Pharma ETF, it's basically flat year-to-date, calendar year-to-date, you are seeing, I think, more divergence, if you will, in which companies are doing well and which are not. That's always been the case, I think a little more so now than perhaps it has been in a while. Again, on our book of business, we're seeing ourselves growing with the ones who are doing well and growing a little less with the ones who aren't. I think you can just, you know, index us to the overall pharma growth.
Steven Valiquette — Analyst, Mizuho Securities
Okay. That's helpful. Thank you.
David Roman — Analyst, Goldman Sachs
Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. I wanted to start on just some of the market dynamics here. I think you've historically talked about the digital HCP pharma advertising market being in the $2.5 billion-$3 billion range, and you've offered some perspective on the growth outlook here. On the paid AI Search side, appreciating it's a huge TAM you're going after, is there any frame of reference you can give us on sort of size of that category today, what you think the serviceable addressable market is, and how much of the outlook is dependent on market creation versus shifting dollars over to this type of spend?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
David, this is Jeff. I gotta be honest, this is a hard question to answer because this is genuinely a brand new market. I'll highlight that with a stat. The average Google search is two and a half words. Our average Doximity AI Search is 23 words. It's just a lot more context. It's really a very different approach. Even if you were able to identify who is an HCP, you know, on a paid search site, which frankly you mostly can't, the amount of specificity around the question and the amount of insight really is at a whole new level. It is a new TAM, and I think it may end up being like what Google did to the Yellow Pages, right?
The Yellow Pages wasn't that big a business, or at least it was a few billion, then very quickly Google, you know, 10X'd that business. I think that as we look at AI Search for medicine, we could end up creating a much bigger TAM than what currently exists in HCP paid search, even if we could clearly identify what % is HCP paid search. Hard question to answer, I'll say this, the level of engagement from top pharmaceutical companies, kinda off the charts. The reality is this is something that's very exciting to see and understand what are the real gaps and what are the real issues that, you know, frontline clinicians are encountering with my product.
That, I think, will be good for healthcare overall, 'cause I think we'll start to see better drug development and better education, and we'll really start to, I think, get through all the layers to understand what the key issues and questions are. Hard to put a number on that right now.
David Roman — Analyst, Goldman Sachs
Understood. Maybe just a follow-up, as you think about appreciating your comments on the macro environment and some of the political and other uncertainty that have faced pharma companies, Coming out of Q1, most companies were raising their revenue outlets for the year. You're seeing your net revenue retention come down a little sequentially in quarter-over-quarter. At what point do you ask yourselves, or how do you reassure investors that pharma companies aren't figuring out how to do more with less, and the businesses are doing fine without deploying a lot of resources toward HCP advertising, so this is gonna be constrained for a longer period of time until they figure out the next area in which to invest?
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
Thanks, David. This is Jeff. I'll take that. I think pharma companies will do more with less, but we're the more. Today they spend a lot on a lot of the mechanics and analytics and, you know, data warehouses. You know, one KOL interview that one of the analysts did two years ago asked what the fastest growing area in digital HCP was, and the answer was, you know, spending on consulting firms. Because of all of the consulting that needed to be done to measure the ROI of the programs. This allows them to really put, you know, money where it works for them, which is where the ROI is. Again, I think we have always won on that front and we continue to grow there.
I think there will be efficiency gains and that will accrue to us because, again, we're the ones who are delivering the ROI.
Scott Schoenhaus — Analyst, KeyBanc
Hey, team. Thanks for taking my question. Perry, this one's for you. You know, you cited market share growth at 5% or below and sort of same expectations for your own growth. I mean, maybe what's the delta between your historic, you know, two times market share versus in line market share? Is it more heavily weighted towards maybe a loss of market share on the AI side and a catch-up there, or this, you know, downshift in temporary, you know, lower cost spend from your clients?
Perry Gold — VP of Investor Relations, Doximity
Hey, Scott. It's a great question. Yes, you know, I think historically, we've always outgrown the market some years more so than others. You know, this year, if you look at our guide, we are looking like, at least at this point, we'll be more in line with the market, maybe slight outperformance. I think the reality is, and you were talking about this earlier, there isn't a lot of incremental budget, and we saw this three years ago. We didn't have really something very innovative in the AI Search kind of commercial department to offer folks until two weeks ago. We weren't there in the upfront cycle to provide this. Now we have something. We're playing a little bit of catch-up on the commercial front. We're really excited about what we have to offer.
That I think will help us. The reality is, and to Jeff's point earlier, because of the med-legal review timeline, right, you lose the summer for most of these programs going live. You have real revenue coming from them in the third quarter, the fiscal third quarter, October through December, maybe a little bit before. You're losing out on most of the calendar year having kind of this innovative product in market when you're recognizing revenue, right? That's part of why it's a little harder to outgrow this year. The other piece to your point on the kind of the want for maybe some discounts, some lower cost engagements or impressions, that's just not where we play.
I think three years ago, we went through something similar. I think there were some legacy publishers also offering discounts at that time. Maybe we lost a little bit of share of the margin. Longer term, we're in a way better position by sticking to kind of what we do best. A premium physician first offering. That's the strategy that has paid off over the long term. You know, we've been around for 16 years. We've been through multiple technology cycles. We might be a little late initially on the commercial front, but in the long run, we have the much better product, the much better physician uptake, the premium offering, and we eventually kind of have the better share gains. I think longer term, we are very well positioned to continue to outgrow the market.
Our engagement's never grown faster. You know, I think over time, the revenue eventually follows that engagement growth, that engagement trajectory. I think when folks are ready to come back to the premium high ROI channels, we will be there in force. I'll also just add, I think it was Allen put out a survey he's been doing for a few years. When folks were asked, pharma brands were asked who's the, you know, who's the platform where you're gonna give your money when, you know, if and when you have incremental budget. We were by far the leader there, and we had the biggest jump I think we've ever had. Clearly when people get money, they want to spend with us.
I think we're well positioned, if and when some budget unlocks, hopefully a little bit more this year.
Matt Sonefeldt — CFO, Doximity
Scott, I'll just jump in really quickly too. This is from a total newcomer's perspective, and I'm not here full-time quite yet. You know, I think by being an operator in platform companies, by having invested in platform companies, like, I've been really impressed with how the team's been super disciplined on focusing on the physicians first kind of engagement side of the market and creating that. That ultimately is what will create the longer term growth opportunity. I think now it's time to invest as well in the pharma client experience around that much stronger engagement. You don't really see your base of users all that often go through dramatic acceleration points. Doximity's seeing that right now, you know, really driven by the AI engagement.
I think that's just a really exciting kind of longer term framing opportunity to think about, you know, how AI monetization really starts to play into the model.
Jeff Tangney — Co-founder and CEO, Doximity
I'd like to just thank the entire Doximity team for their hard work in serving more doctors every day than ever before. Thank you everyone for joining.